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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87820501001502007768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
67Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
77Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.1
36.136.2
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 9.4
36.90.8
32.531.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
6078
#10
28.00.1
28.028.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 0.5
3667
#12
27.50.8
23.522.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
5527
#32
9.70.1
11.812.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
blue by 1.9
5183
#22
11.60.8
16.115.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed