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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7180020406010012014016039100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
29Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points2
39Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7784
#14
30.62.1
26.123.9
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
blue by 11.6
42.22.6
27.430.0
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Second
4961
#21
15.43.5
16.513.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 13.7
29.12.6
24.927.5
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Third
7772
#36
14.53.5
19.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 1.7
453
#16
12.82.6
16.419.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned