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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798140601001209288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points11
10Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
78Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
92Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.5
33.735.2
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 14.3
43.60.9
26.627.5
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
6610
#39
14.91.5
17.018.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 5.1
5612
#30
19.90.9
25.326.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
5517
#23
11.31.5
18.420.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 3.5
9242
#28
14.70.9
19.220.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed