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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85980501502007495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
55Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
74Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.2
36.236.0
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 2.7
43.60.7
27.528.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
32.80.2
20.920.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
blue by 9.4
42.20.7
30.030.7
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Third
453
#16
12.80.2
19.018.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 18.9
1684
#24
31.70.7
27.928.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed