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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716502040801001201403326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
3Coral scored#1
11Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
21Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points8
33Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
28.03.0
28.125.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 8.1
5612
#30
19.94.2
26.222.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Second
9237
#38
15.73.0
19.116.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 0.7
6091
#13
15.04.2
14.09.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Third
4961
#21
15.43.0
13.010.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 0.9
7772
#36
14.54.2
16.011.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed