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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65623040507080901003529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
35Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.12.7
27.524.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
red by 9.4
3098
#27
19.73.1
19.916.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
Second
9255
#31
12.82.7
13.711.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 1.0
3568
#17
11.83.1
18.715.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
Third
4395
#37
12.22.7
15.913.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
red by 0.6
5183
#22
11.63.1
15.312.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed