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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592030405070802620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
2Coral scored#1
7Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop5
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
26Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#12
27.53.9
22.718.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 4.1
5046
#11
23.43.5
19.215.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Second
13.63.9
15.411.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 2.2
314
#29
15.83.5
20.416.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Third
5517
#23
11.33.9
16.712.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 1.5
5527
#32
9.73.5
12.08.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed