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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85114204060100140160109119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
92Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
109Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.7
34.136.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 7.6
50.20.8
33.534.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
5907
#18
26.52.7
24.427.0
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
blue by 19.7
46.20.8
36.036.8
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Third
9572
#33
24.22.7
20.823.5
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 18.0
42.20.8
30.731.5
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned