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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51950204060801201403255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#6
13Coral points20
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
19Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
32Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#25
20.52.1
19.417.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
blue by 16.4
36.93.0
31.728.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
6091
#13
15.02.1
9.77.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 16.7
1684
#24
31.73.0
28.725.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Third
9242
#28
14.72.1
18.916.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
red by 1.9
453
#16
12.83.0
18.815.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed