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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5485020401001201407242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
72Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.12.0
24.726.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 1.5
7784
#14
30.61.7
25.724.0
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Second
4961
#21
15.42.0
10.011.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 9.0
5561
#15
24.41.7
23.321.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Third
9731
#26
12.32.0
11.113.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 0.5
3568
#17
11.82.8
15.612.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed