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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6566304050607080909239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+49Teleop
+45Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
59Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
8Foul points0
92Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.4
28.230.6
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 18.3
8426
#35
25.32.2
18.416.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Second
3098
#27
19.72.4
16.819.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5612
#30
19.92.2
22.019.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
9255
#31
12.82.4
11.013.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 4.0
9251
#34
16.82.2
15.913.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed