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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546202040801001205964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
46Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
59Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.81.0
20.721.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
red by 4.8
6078
#10
28.01.0
25.126.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
9237
#38
15.71.0
16.017.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 4.5
9662
#19
20.31.0
12.813.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Third
4395
#37
12.21.0
13.114.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 7.7
5878
#20
19.91.0
17.518.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed