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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547802040601001201884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +51
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
3Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points6
18Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#29
15.83.3
16.913.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
blue by 30.4
46.21.3
36.838.1
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
6610
#39
14.93.3
19.015.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 5.6
6085
#25
20.51.3
17.318.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Third
5183
#22
11.63.3
12.28.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 2.9
7772
#36
14.51.3
11.813.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned