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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44117010015068157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+77
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +69
11Coral scored#29
40Coral points103
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
54Total teleop123
Reef
5L4#16
4L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
68Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.0
26.727.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 28.7
57.85.1
36.841.9
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
Second
6091
#13
15.01.0
7.68.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 27.2
42.25.1
31.536.6
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Third
3568
#17
11.81.0
12.713.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
blue by 25.1
36.95.1
28.733.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned