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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions773102040601001208022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#2
48Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
58Total teleop11
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
80Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.8
34.336.1
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 34.8
4961
#21
15.41.3
11.910.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Second
9242
#28
14.71.8
16.918.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
red by 1.9
9255
#31
12.81.3
13.412.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5517
#23
11.31.8
12.814.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 1.5
5527
#32
9.71.3
8.57.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed