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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6356203040507080905441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
24Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points0
54Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
28.02.3
26.123.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 0.5
3667
#12
27.51.1
18.817.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Second
3098
#27
19.72.3
19.316.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
blue by 5.6
8426
#35
25.31.1
16.215.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
13.62.3
11.59.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
red by 0.8
453
#16
12.81.1
15.714.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed