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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5681020401001204096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+48
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +48
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#6
6Processor points6
0Net points24
6Algae points30
25Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
40Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#30
19.92.5
19.717.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
blue by 4.5
5561
#15
24.41.2
21.622.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
6610
#39
14.92.5
15.613.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 9.3
9572
#33
24.21.9
23.525.4
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
4395
#37
12.22.5
14.211.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 7.7
5878
#20
19.91.9
18.520.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned