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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271204060801001208674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
46Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points18
86Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.6
35.937.5
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 6.7
36.90.9
34.633.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
6610
#39
14.91.6
15.617.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 5.1
5612
#30
19.90.9
16.815.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
453
#16
12.81.6
11.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4961
#21
15.40.9
9.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned