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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935002040608010012014012865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
88Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
12Foul points0
128Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.22.6
35.538.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 17.8
5561
#15
24.40.1
25.025.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
7784
#14
30.61.5
26.127.6
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
red by 18.4
4395
#37
12.20.2
12.512.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Third
5046
#11
23.42.6
12.414.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
red by 13.7
5527
#32
9.70.2
5.35.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned