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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806620406010012011176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
69Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
24Foul points0
111Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.0
42.844.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 25.0
32.81.7
27.028.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Second
6091
#13
15.02.0
11.613.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 9.2
9572
#33
24.21.7
25.026.7
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
9255
#31
12.82.0
14.616.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 1.7
7772
#36
14.51.7
8.710.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed