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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58653040507080901006240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
44Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
62Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9572
#33
24.20.7
26.727.4
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 0.2
5561
#15
24.41.2
25.224.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
13.60.7
11.111.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 1.0
7772
#36
14.52.0
10.48.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
453
#16
12.80.7
13.013.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Level
9255
#31
12.82.0
16.614.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed