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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55105020408012014016080128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +32
12Coral scored#20
42Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
64Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
80Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#24
31.72.4
19.922.3
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
blue by 11.9
43.63.7
37.541.1
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
8426
#35
25.32.4
19.421.8
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 5.3
7784
#14
30.62.2
27.629.8
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Third
314
#29
15.82.4
14.216.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
blue by 10.7
5907
#18
26.53.7
23.727.4
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed