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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815002040601001208659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
34Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
30Foul points2
86Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.8
43.341.5
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 13.4
32.80.6
28.729.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Second
3098
#27
19.71.8
16.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
red by 4.3
4961
#21
15.40.6
9.09.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
5517
#23
11.31.8
13.011.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 3.7
6091
#13
15.00.6
13.614.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed