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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8645020601001201409637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+49Teleop
+53Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
56Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points0
96Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.4
39.741.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 25.4
9251
#34
16.80.9
14.213.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Second
3667
#12
27.51.4
25.526.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 12.8
9242
#28
14.70.9
17.716.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
7772
#36
14.51.4
8.49.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 2.4
4395
#37
12.20.9
11.310.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed