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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76785060709010011010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
71Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
107Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.22.9
42.445.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 6.6
43.60.5
41.141.6
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
5878
#20
19.92.9
17.120.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
red by 4.1
314
#29
15.80.5
16.517.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Third
3568
#17
11.82.9
8.211.1
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.8
13.60.5
11.812.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed