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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717540506080901001106571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
65Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.0
41.641.6
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 6.7
36.90.5
33.233.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
9251
#34
16.80.0
13.313.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 3.1
5878
#20
19.90.5
20.020.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Third
7772
#36
14.50.0
9.89.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 1.0
13.60.5
12.212.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed