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Red122
496755.8
920832.5
920616.5
Blue132
956631.6
1063339.2
910629.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109112100120130122132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
16Coral scored#26
59Coral points93
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
83Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
122Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.8
44.245.0
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
red by 16.6
39.21.2
35.436.6
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Second
9208
#19
32.50.8
23.624.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
red by 0.9
9566
#11
31.61.2
31.532.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
Third
9206
#29
16.50.8
18.619.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 12.5
9106
#34
29.01.2
20.721.9
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed