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Red93
442245.8
829720.7
780918.5
Blue64
438141.1
1066416.3
85829.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80980501509364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
50Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
18Foul points0
93Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.3
36.837.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 4.6
4381
#10
41.11.0
36.535.5
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
8297
#23
20.70.3
17.918.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 9.2
858
#22
29.91.0
29.928.9
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
Third
7809
#25
18.50.3
15.716.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
red by 2.2
16.31.0
13.011.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed