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Red43
1064219.5
780817.0
323413.2
Blue42
923915.9
1065427.4
781016.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801004342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
28Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
43Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.1
14.814.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 7.9
27.40.6
20.920.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Second
7808
#24
17.00.1
10.610.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 0.2
7810
#36
16.70.6
14.513.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
3234
#27
13.20.1
13.613.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 2.7
9239
#15
15.90.6
10.49.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed