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Red27
90419.7
76588.4
526011.3
Blue103
21625.6
828528.1
967124.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4066020608010012014027103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+68
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +62
3Coral scored#14
11Coral points49
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
15Total teleop77
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
27Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#18
19.71.3
19.718.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
blue by 8.5
8285
#14
28.12.6
17.219.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
Second
5260
#40
11.31.3
9.88.5
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 14.3
216
#21
25.62.6
23.325.9
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
Third
7658
#39
8.41.3
11.610.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 16.3
9671
#26
24.72.6
17.019.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned