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Red125
28835.6
365838.7
525619.8
Blue131
547016.7
609036.9
956631.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289250150200125131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points69
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
18Processor points24
24Net points16
42Algae points40
98Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
125Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#12
38.70.2
35.435.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
red by 1.8
6090
#20
36.91.8
29.431.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
Second
288
#28
35.60.2
36.336.5
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 3.9
9566
#11
31.61.8
32.634.5
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
Third
5256
#31
19.80.2
26.526.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 3.1
5470
#35
16.71.8
11.713.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed