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Red111
485535.3
967124.7
956631.6
Blue138
828528.1
781828.6
920832.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13112380100140160180200111138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
Endgame+25
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points68
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
92Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +26
4Cage & park30
4Total endgame30
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points2
111Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#16
35.30.3
35.635.3
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
red by 2.8
9208
#19
32.50.4
31.431.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
9566
#11
31.60.3
31.931.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
red by 3.0
7818
#13
28.60.4
27.527.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
9671
#26
24.70.3
25.024.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
blue by 3.4
8285
#14
28.10.4
27.027.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0