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Red208
205471.2
1065427.4
207560.3
Blue146
438141.1
387539.5
85829.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17811550100150200250208146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+42Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
33Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +49
27Coral scored#22
97Coral points78
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
151Total teleop102
Reef
11L4#11
7L3#7
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
208Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.8
68.869.6
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 30.0
4381
#10
41.10.3
40.040.3
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
60.30.8
57.958.7
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 20.9
39.50.3
38.438.7
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
Third
27.40.8
25.025.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
blue by 2.5
858
#22
29.90.3
28.829.1
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3