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Red124
828528.1
781828.6
920832.5
Blue132
442245.8
781016.7
496755.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214650200124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points45
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
75Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
124Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#19
32.50.7
31.932.5
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
blue by 23.3
55.80.2
55.655.8
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
Second
7818
#13
28.60.7
27.928.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
blue by 17.2
45.80.2
45.545.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
Third
8285
#14
28.10.7
27.528.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 11.4
7810
#36
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4