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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308702040601001201401604697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
35Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
46Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#26
27.91.6
9.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 27.2
27
#5
55.12.9
37.940.8
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
6631
#28
15.11.6
11.212.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 15.0
245
#24
30.12.9
22.925.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Third
5234
#38
13.71.6
11.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
red by 6.1
5260
#39
7.62.9
9.912.8
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned