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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875702040801001201407810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+68Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
7Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
44Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
78Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.4
44.945.3
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 34.9
894
#23
25.14.9
18.613.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Second
5150
#27
21.00.4
18.418.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
red by 1.2
4998
#22
19.84.9
21.316.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
16.20.4
11.411.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 3.6
5235
#37
12.64.9
14.29.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed