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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8354020401001201409865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
68Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#4
8L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points6
98Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.42.3
35.237.5
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
red by 13.4
5641
#21
23.90.3
13.814.1
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Second
9648
#14
27.12.3
14.216.5
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
red by 3.7
6067
#17
23.40.3
18.919.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Third
8193
#18
25.62.3
19.221.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 7.4
9757
#13
18.20.3
15.315.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned