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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599702040801201401604160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+5
Endgame+25
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points0
41Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#7
31.32.4
31.328.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
blue by 23.8
27
#5
55.12.4
40.838.4
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
5282
#40
12.72.4
12.710.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 12.4
3534
#29
25.12.4
20.418.0
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
5260
#39
7.62.4
12.810.4
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 10.3
7195
#16
17.92.4
20.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned