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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70107020406080120140160109129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
63Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
109Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.74.9
38.443.3
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
blue by 3.2
60.04.0
45.349.3
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
Second
5084
#19
24.44.9
21.025.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 21.7
70
#8
46.14.0
34.938.9
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
5697
#30
10.64.9
5.610.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 4.5
6631
#28
15.14.0
12.816.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned