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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644902040801001208860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
39Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
24Foul points20
88Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
17.517.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
red by 7.7
5150
#27
21.01.3
18.817.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Second
8193
#18
25.60.0
21.521.4
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 13.9
11.81.3
13.712.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
4998
#22
19.80.0
16.416.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 9.0
9697
#36
10.81.3
11.19.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned