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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437002060801001203279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+53
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
13Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
32Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.9
14.013.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 23.5
2145
#12
40.92.2
30.933.2
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
5234
#38
13.70.9
12.711.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 11.4
894
#23
25.12.2
13.716.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Third
4994
#31
12.30.9
13.712.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 11.7
5641
#21
23.92.2
14.116.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed