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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4411801001504190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+41
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
26Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
41Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#14
27.10.9
16.515.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
blue by 10.3
910
#9
37.40.9
37.536.6
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
6067
#17
23.40.9
19.218.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
blue by 12.0
9245
#11
35.40.9
29.328.4
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
Third
5282
#40
12.70.9
10.39.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 18.5
573
#7
31.30.9
28.927.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned