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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001201405090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
35Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points4
50Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#24
30.10.0
26.226.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
blue by 26.7
56.71.5
43.344.9
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
17.30.0
13.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 7.7
894
#23
25.11.5
16.017.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Third
5697
#30
10.60.0
10.510.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 5.6
16.21.5
12.814.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed