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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797540601001208684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points12
86Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.11.0
38.939.9
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 8.8
910
#9
37.40.6
36.637.2
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
5641
#21
23.91.0
16.417.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
red by 3.0
5150
#27
21.00.6
17.518.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
4994
#31
12.31.0
12.713.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 0.3
5235
#37
12.60.6
10.310.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned