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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58742040801001207975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
61Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
79Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.12.9
22.725.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
blue by 12.8
2145
#12
40.90.7
33.233.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
1504
#26
27.92.9
11.714.6
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
red by 12.8
6631
#28
15.10.7
16.817.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Third
6067
#17
23.42.9
18.321.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
red by 11.6
11.80.7
12.413.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed