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Red191
715351.3
360476.0
300657.5
Blue135
412265.5
1001524.3
272029.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20811650100150250300191135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points23
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points54
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
24Processor points18
24Net points8
48Algae points26
118Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#6
9L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points6
191Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#39
76.00.3
75.475.0
Auto13.2
Teleop54.0
End8.8
red by 10.5
4122
#37
65.50.4
65.065.4
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End9.6
Second
57.50.3
57.156.7
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
red by 28.5
2720
#70
29.00.4
28.629.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Third
7153
#48
51.30.3
51.651.3
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End7.3
red by 27.0
24.30.4
23.924.3
Auto7.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned