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Red213
91069.2
147762.6
600258.2
Blue182
58758.8
566549.7
406950.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18516250100150200250300213182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +17
29Coral scored#30
106Coral points107
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
30Processor points12
24Net points24
54Algae points36
160Total teleop143
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#7
9L2#10
9L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
213Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
69.22.0
60.862.8
Auto20.0
Teleop38.9
End10.4
red by 10.4
587
#27
58.81.0
55.356.3
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
Second
1477
#31
62.62.0
61.863.8
Auto11.8
Teleop42.1
End8.7
red by 11.8
4069
#63
50.91.0
53.754.6
Auto9.1
Teleop33.5
End8.2
Third
6002
#46
58.22.0
46.548.4
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
red by 8.5
5665
#34
49.71.0
44.845.8
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned