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Red169
5865.5
341468.6
297639.3
Blue155
168374.2
565352.5
680629.1
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16814950100200250169155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#22
91Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
109Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#7
9L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
169Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#40
68.60.9
56.757.6
Auto15.0
Teleop44.8
End8.8
blue by 5.6
1683
#18
74.21.0
61.662.7
Auto12.2
Teleop54.6
End7.4
Second
58
#45
65.50.9
62.263.1
Auto11.7
Teleop44.1
End9.7
red by 13.0
5653
#71
52.51.0
52.353.4
Auto9.6
Teleop40.3
End2.6
Third
2976
#25
39.30.9
30.531.4
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
red by 10.2
6806
#75
29.11.0
25.426.5
Auto3.0
Teleop23.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed