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Red181
102359.1
367473.3
32150.5
Blue181
705660.1
545444.3
859268.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190187160180200220240181181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+20
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points93
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
24Processor points18
16Net points28
40Algae points46
115Total teleop139
Reef
12L4#16
5L3#5
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#41
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
181Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.3
Auto17.2
Teleop44.6
End11.5
red by 4.7
8592
#53
68.6
Auto13.9
Teleop48.3
End6.4
Second
1023
#19
59.1
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End5.4
blue by 1.0
7056
#30
60.1
Auto10.9
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Third
321
#60
50.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.4
End5.5
red by 6.2
5454
#50
44.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned