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Red233
118105.8
874963.8
902936.5
Blue183
1002149.6
181630.6
740785.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214185100150200250300233183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
44Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +21
28Coral scored#24
101Coral points88
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
145Total teleop124
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#6
7L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
18Foul points0
233Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
105.80.1
108.5108.4
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
red by 20.7
85.10.6
81.180.5
Auto24.4
Teleop48.4
End12.3
Second
8749
#15
63.80.1
57.557.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
red by 14.2
49.60.6
48.548.0
Auto6.5
Teleop39.6
End3.6
Third
9029
#42
36.50.1
27.927.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End1.5
red by 5.9
1816
#64
30.60.6
41.040.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned